Aboutpeople from Taiwan have taken up permanent residence across the Strait. SinceChina has — with great strategic resolve and even greater tactical flexibility — pursued the goal of reunification by measures short of war.
Possible Scenario While there are several scenarios where conflict between the United States and China is possible, some analysts believe that a conflict over Taiwan remains the most likely place where the PRC and the U. China will likely use the election or statement of a pro-independence high-ranking official as the impetus for action.
First, Americans have regarded the situations in Korea and the Taiwan Strait as embodying a more or less stable and peaceful international status quo that requires continuing military effort for its sustainment but which is preferable to any feasible alternative.
This, in the minds of the Chinese, makes the United States an outside aggressor, not China.
Given that China is incapable of executing and sustaining a conventional military campaign against the continental United States, China would clearly have an asymmetry of interest and capability with the United States — far more is at stake for China than it is for the United States.
In their latest estimateHans M. On June 26,at Chinese Capabilities Enjoying this article? While American leaders may find such a sentiment unfounded, the PRC has a strong fear that the United States will use its nuclear arsenal as a tool to blackmail coerce China into taking or not taking a number of actions that are against its interests.
It would be more likely to try again. They now see the United States not as a potential part of the solution but as an incorrigible element of the Taiwan problem — to be flanked, if not removed.
What Beijing is offering Taipei is essentially a symbolically repackaged status quo.
China, by contrast, sees reunification of some sort — if only symbolic in nature — as indispensable to creating a lasting peace in the Taiwan area, much as the return of Hong Kong and Macau to Chinese sovereignty ended controversy over their status without altering the character or significantly affecting the operation of their politico-economic systems.
Chinese policies toward the island are neither primarily nor exclusively military. China is not the United States nor do Chinese leaders think like their counterparts in the United States. The Chinese have seen it as a political problem with military aspects.
It does not need to be in order to achieve its geopolitical objectives. Americans equate a stable status quo to peace. The two sides have shared an interest in deferring conflict that has masked essentially different strategic objectives with respect to it.
Without making too crude a point, the nuclear option provides more bang for the buck, or yuan.Oct 11, · Best Answer: The tensions between China and Taiwan find their roots in the Chinese revolution, when communists led by Chairman Mao claimed control of the mainland.
Nationalist leader Chiang Kai-shek withdrew to Taiwan, with two million refugees, vowing the reclaim the mainland. With the influx of so Status: Resolved.
While there are several scenarios where conflict between the United States and China is possible, some analysts believe that a conflict over Taiwan remains the most likely place where the PRC and the U.S.
would come to blows. Beijing is aware that any coercive action on its part to force Taiwan to accept its political domination could incur the wrath. Since then the island has retained the name Republic of China, even though the government there only administers the island of Taiwan itself and a few other much smaller ones.
In Taiwan, there is an added complication. Excerpts from FRONTLINE's interviews with David Lampton and Kurt Campbell, two China specialists; Erik Eckholm, Beijing bureau chief of The New York Times; Sen.
Fred Thompson (R-Tenn.), a China critic; Yang Jiechi, China's ambassador to the U.S.; Zhu Bangzao, spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry; and Dr. Joseph Wu, deputy. Are China and Taiwan Heading Towards Conflict? First, China’s leverage over Taiwan has increased immensely.
As the second largest economy in the world, China has increasingly drawn Taiwan.
To date, the 'most official'  representative offices between the two sides are the PRC's Cross-Strait Tourism Exchange Association (CSTEA) in Taiwan, established on 7 Mayand ROC's Taiwan Strait Tourism Association (TSTA) in China, established on 4 May However, the duties of these offices are limited .Download